Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.678476 0.871375 1.088594 1.348414 1.647851 1.979374 2.371386
2025-06-29 0.399658 0.633450 0.932188 1.328460 1.827110 2.421369 3.170452
2025-07-06 0.223457 0.451849 0.786294 1.276795 1.944347 2.790183 3.911405
2025-07-13 0.131846 0.346641 0.706839 1.284932 2.124707 3.241241 4.778296
2025-07-20 0.075681 0.268488 0.640939 1.291828 2.293419 3.680197 5.648834
2025-07-27 0.037455 0.196665 0.559614 1.253561 2.384056 4.010603 6.385693
2025-08-03 0.016564 0.143636 0.491561 1.218788 2.467997 4.328042 7.111425
2025-08-10 0.007185 0.111667 0.453522 1.226034 2.612454 4.734042 7.969964
2025-08-17 0.001914 0.079231 0.397862 1.186342 2.671305 5.010845 8.650895
2025-08-24 0.000629 0.067686 0.392640 1.244972 2.898163 5.548228 9.719622
2025-08-31 0.000053 0.051716 0.364615 1.248736 3.026650 5.936423 10.579985
2025-09-07 0.000002 0.046595 0.371107 1.329415 3.296733 6.554195 11.792357
2025-09-14 NaN 0.038990 0.364716 1.381539 3.522326 7.117004 12.950131
2025-09-21 NaN 0.030410 0.347716 1.405087 3.695931 7.603107 14.007119
2025-09-28 NaN 0.020316 0.312010 1.373752 3.761024 7.914046 14.806825
2025-10-05 NaN 0.015193 0.297221 1.393987 3.926651 8.394404 15.874429
2025-10-12 NaN 0.010942 0.281331 1.407348 4.077796 8.853523 16.917228
2025-10-19 NaN 0.006344 0.250606 1.369829 4.120712 9.129558 17.680552
2025-10-26 NaN 0.003364 0.223184 1.334423 4.163292 9.403950 18.444739
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002016 0.210358 1.342939 4.299163 9.842343 19.474476
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000770 0.185056 1.301083 4.320419 10.079021 20.186854
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000571 0.188281 1.363732 4.578444 10.740793 21.589565
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000229 0.176779 1.367850 4.703252 11.167338 22.620449